First Energy hebt das Kursziel für Condor Petroleum Inc. nach der wunderbaren Marsel-Bohrung von 1,10 CAD auf 1,20 CAD an:
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1100, 311 - 6 Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta, T2P 3H2 • 403-262-0600 85 London Wall, London, EC2M 7AD • +44-207-448-0200 WWW.FIRSTENERGY.COM Condor Petroleum Inc. - CPI C$0.52 April 11, 2012 Page 1 of 4 Gas Discovery at Marsel Highlight Condor Petroleum announced a discovery at the Asa-1 well with 76 m of net pay and flow rates of 2.1 to 11.1 mmcf/d. The well was targeting about 100 bcf gross recoverable resources, which is now being deepened by 100 m. The next prospect will target 600 bcf gross prospective resources following the latest seismic interpretation. We have revised our target price from C$1.10 to C$1.20 in line with our new risked NAV to reflect the discovery and updated drilling programme. Condor will now drill four appraisal oil wells at Shoba to target 3.6 mmbbl possible reserves and targeted production growth to over 2,000 bbl/d production by the end of 2012. Our Outperform recommendation is re-iterated. Discovery at Marsel Condor announced that the Asa-1 well on the Marsel block, Kazakhstan, encountered 76 m of net gas pay. DST performed at the top and base of the zone re¬sulted in dry gas flow rates ranging between 2.1 and 11.1 mmcf/day. The higher gas rate corresponded to the lower zone (50 m interval). The flow rate at the up¬per zone appears to have been hampered by mudcake given that the Company had to control the well with heavy mud following a kick while drilling the upper interval. The upper zone was only cleaned-up and flow tested for 40 minutes. Based on the DST results, the Company will deepen the well by 100 m to confirm a projected gas-water contact, after which the well will be cased. Condor targeted about 100 bcf gross recover¬able resources with the Asa-1 well. The well cost US$5 mm. The DST test was only a preliminary well test and the well will be fully tested in Q3 2012. Marsel: 600 bcf Prospect Next The Marsel preliminary interpretation and mapping of the recently acquired 900 km 2D seismic has identified several prospects in the southern region of the terri¬tory, focusing around the Bugudzilskaya structure. Based on the mapping of this structure, two locations have been identified for exploration drilling in 2012. The Bugudzilskaya structure is estimated to hold 600 bcf gross recoverable resources (Condor WI: 66%). The Bugudzilskaya well is due to be drilled in Q3 2012. First of Four Appraisal Wells at Shoba Imminent At Shoba, drilling is about to commence on the first of four appraisal wells. The initial two wells will target oil in the untested northern fault block and the con¬version of 3.6 mmbbl from the possible to the proven and probable reserves category. Additionally, these wells represent the main component of the Company’s targeted production growth to over 2,000 bbl/d by the end of 2012. Resources Report At Zharkamys the processing of 1,280 km2 3D seismic acquired in Q4 2011, combined with 1,252 km2 3D seismic acquired in Q4 2012, highlight multiple play types, ranging from salt-flank and sub-canopy plays to deeper structures that are fully encapsulated in salt or are pre-salt structures. This has expanded the num¬ber of play types and will result in a more diversified prospect inventory. Condor plans to issue an indepen¬dent resources estimate at Zharkamys in Q3 2012 and at Marsel in Q2 2012. Upcoming Exploration Drilling Newsflow at Zharkamys At Zharkamys, five exploration deep wells and five exploration shallow wells are expected to be drilled by the end of 2012. Valuation and Recommendation We have revised our target price from C$1.10 to C$1.20 in line with our new risked NAV to reflect the discovery and updated drilling programme. We have assigned 100 bcf gross recoverable resources to the contingent category with a 75% risk factor. 2012 remains a very busy year for Condor. The Company is target¬ing 100-125 mmbbl oil prospective resources over the balance of 2012 with five high impact sub-canopy wells. Each of these wells could potentially re-rate the story. The share price now trades at less than 50% of our new risked NAV. Our Outperform recommendation is re-iterated.
Salve, Tasche
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