Hier die Chancen und Risiken noch einmal treffend beschrieben, von der ID Snogreen aus dem Yahoo-Forum. Snogreens einträge sind stehts von hoher Qualität. Manchmal sind sie mir zu optimistisch aber dieser hier ist doch sehr treffend und objektiv formuliert finde ich:
For those naysayers that think it will take years to see results of ARQL and it's drug ARQ-501....sorry to say you are wrong. By sometime bewteen October and November of 2004 we will have all we need to know, imo, of the possible success of ARQL drug. That is when the phase 1 will end. Now I am FULLY aware it is only a phase 1 trial. However, what ARQL is onto, is somethng so different, so unique..that it blows away whatever any other cancer drug does. ARQ-501 alters the DNA of cancer cells to simply cause, that they kill themselves. And there are little side effects. And it does not harm healthy cells. Current chemo therapies nuke ALL cells good and bad.
Now, Genentechs drug, Avastin? Well, all that drug does is slow down blood flow to a cancer tumor. It does NOT cure cancer like ARQL drug does (in early tests). Genentech drug only EXTENDS life of patient by 5-6 months then you still die! GEnentech added $40,000,000,000 in market value on a cancer drug, Avastin, that extends life by 6 months!
Now, ARQL's drug by iteself in animals with human cancers EVAPORATED 50% of cancerous tumors. Next, with the same, animals with human cancers, when they gave ARQ-501 in combo with Taxol? ALmost 95% of ALL the cancer cells/tumors were killed or dissappeared! WHAT IS THAT WORTH compared to Genentech drug?
Now, that is why the Phase 1 is SO IMPORTANT. I do NOT know...but if the phase 1 confirms early animal data..and 50% of Cancerous tumors dissappear? Then it is CONFIRMED there is activity in humans! Also, it is VERY INTESTING to note that ARQL said they are proceeding with a Phase 1-B trial BEFORE the mono phase 1 is done! ARQL mgmt ALREADY KNOWS. They dosed humans starting in Sept 2003. That will be with ARQ-501 in combo with taxol. That is where almost ALL cancer tumors were killed. Period. That is why we will have our answer by the END of this year. If the taxol combo with ARQ-501 kills ALL tumors in a phase 1-b? This drug will not have to wait for a phase 3 approval. It will be approved way early under compassionate use approval...fast track...expedited approval...and possibly orphan Drug Status. If the drug works as hoped in Phase 1, ARQL's approach is light years ahead of ANY other cancer drug/company...and the FDA will face too much pressure not to let the drug be used. IMO, we only have about 8 months left to find our answer. Is there ANY effect in real humans?
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